Abstract—Climate change is a major problem for Earth and
its inhabitants. Thus, there is a sense of urgency to properly
address climate change and its impacts. In this study, estimated
damage by the years 2040 and 2090 in Korea was predicted in
relation to flood damage, which is one of disasters caused by
climate change. To derive each flood damage prediction,
regions in Korea were classified as physical drainage systems or
natural drainage systems, and important road and stream
facilities were selected for analysis. Flood damage prediction
was then calculated using the RCP scenarios. Based on the
predictions, reduction measures for flood damage were then
suggested. The analysis conducted estimated the costs of flood
damage for entire areas in Korea based on RCP scenarios as
ranging from $91,341,457 to $139,983,880 in 2040, and from
$128,011,717 to $166,876,272 in 2090. In the scenarios, after
flood damage levels were high in Gyeonggi Province,
Gyeonsang South Province, Chungcheong North Province, and
Gangwon Province (in the northern side of Korea) in 2040, and
Jeolla South Province, Gyeonggi Province, and Chungcheong
North Province (in the southeastern area of Korea) showed high
damage levels to stream facilities. The results of this research
can provide a basis for decision making for a proactive response
to natural disasters caused by future climate change impacts.
Index Terms—Climate change, flood damage prediction, RCP scenario.
B. Park and K. Oh are with the Department of Urban Planning and Engineering, Hanyang University, Seoul, Korea (e-mail: email@example.com, firstname.lastname@example.org).
D. Lee is with the Research Institute of Spatial Planning and Policy, Hanyang University, Seoul, Korea (e-mail: email@example.com).
Cite: B. Park, K. Oh, and D. Lee, "Flood Damage Prediction for Provincial Governments in Korea Based on Climate Change Scenarios," International Journal of Environmental Science and Development vol. 8, no. 6, pp. 435-441, 2017.