Abstract—The performance of footings in residential
construction is influenced by the degree of ground movement,
particularly in reactive soils, which is driven by the magnitude
of change in soil moisture. New patterns of climate are affecting
residential foundations and causing serious and expensive
damage. This paper produces a map of potential risk for
housing damage from ground movement due to climate change.
Using a geographic information system, it combines
information on (1) soil moisture change related to climate, using
TMI as the indicator, and (2) population growth. Preliminary
results, having Victoria, Australia, in the last decade as the case
study, suggest that effects of climate change on soil, and
resulting impacts on house foundations, are not being taken into
consideration in current planning strategies for urban
development. Most of the urban growth priority zones in the
study area are susceptible to medium and high risk for damage.
Producing new and renovated buildings that are durable in the
long term is essential for the economy, environment and social
welfare. The map presented here can assist policies and
strategies towards urban resilience in the context of climate
Index Terms—Risk mapping, housing damage, climate change, TMI.
Simone Leao is with the School of Architecture and Built Environment, Deakin University, Victoria 3220, Australia (e-mail: email@example.com).
Cite:Simone Leao, "Mapping Potential Risk for Housing Damage from Ground Movement Due to Climate Change," International Journal of Environmental Science and Development vol. 5, no. 4, pp. 387-392, 2014.