Volume 5 Number 4 (Aug. 2014)
IJESD 2014 Vol.5(4): 387-392 ISSN: 2010-0264
DOI: 10.7763/IJESD.2014.V5.515

Mapping Potential Risk for Housing Damage from Ground Movement Due to Climate Change

Simone Leao
Abstract—The performance of footings in residential construction is influenced by the degree of ground movement, particularly in reactive soils, which is driven by the magnitude of change in soil moisture. New patterns of climate are affecting residential foundations and causing serious and expensive damage. This paper produces a map of potential risk for housing damage from ground movement due to climate change. Using a geographic information system, it combines information on (1) soil moisture change related to climate, using TMI as the indicator, and (2) population growth. Preliminary results, having Victoria, Australia, in the last decade as the case study, suggest that effects of climate change on soil, and resulting impacts on house foundations, are not being taken into consideration in current planning strategies for urban development. Most of the urban growth priority zones in the study area are susceptible to medium and high risk for damage. Producing new and renovated buildings that are durable in the long term is essential for the economy, environment and social welfare. The map presented here can assist policies and strategies towards urban resilience in the context of climate change.

Index Terms—Risk mapping, housing damage, climate change, TMI.

Simone Leao is with the School of Architecture and Built Environment, Deakin University, Victoria 3220, Australia (e-mail: simone.leao@deakin.edu.au).

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Cite:Simone Leao, "Mapping Potential Risk for Housing Damage from Ground Movement Due to Climate Change," International Journal of Environmental Science and Development vol. 5, no. 4, pp. 387-392, 2014.





 General Information

  • ISSN: 2010-0264 (Print); 2972-3698 (Online)
  • Abbreviated Title: Int. J. Environ. Sci. Dev.
  • Frequency: Bimonthly
  • DOI: 10.18178/IJESD
  • Editor-in-Chief: Prof. Richard Haynes
  • Managing Editor: Ms. Cherry L. Chen
  • Indexing: Scopus (CiteScore 2022: 1.4), Google Scholar, CNKI, ProQuest, EBSCO, etc. 
  • E-mail: ijesd@ejournal.net

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